All-In E101: Ye acquires Parler, Snap drops 30%, macro outlook, VC metrics, valuing stocks & more
Episode 101 • 10/22/2022
Kanye West & Parler Acquisition
- Discussed Kanye West's planned acquisition of Parler, a social media platform created by Candace Owens' husband George Farmer
- Group expressed concern about platforming Kanye during what appears to be a manic episode with concerning antisemitic statements
- Chamath shared personal experience dealing with family member's mental health crisis and importance of intervention vs exploitation
- Discussion of how social media can amplify and accelerate harmful behavior during mental health crises
Snap's Stock Decline
- Snap down 30%, highlighting challenges in social media valuations
- Company has grown from 265M to 360M daily active users showing strong user growth
- Stock decline blamed partly on Apple's IDFA changes affecting ad targeting
- Discussion of corporate governance issues with Snap's zero-voting share structure for common shareholders
Venture Capital Metrics & Returns
- Analysis of VC fund performance using DPI (Distributed to Paid In) vs TVPI (Total Value to Paid In) metrics
- Historical data shows average top quartile VC returns around 2x
- Discussion of portfolio correlation and overlap between major VC firms
- Brad presents chart showing VC returns from 1997-2020
Stock Valuation Fundamentals
- Detailed discussion of proper stock analysis requiring understanding of:
- Financial statements (income statement, balance sheet, cash flow)
- Valuation metrics and comparables
- Full context beyond simple narrative/thesis
- Warning against narrative-driven investing without proper fundamental analysis
- Recommendation for most investors to consider index funds
California Prop 30
- Discussion of proposed 1.75% tax on incomes over $2M for clean energy initiatives
- Lyft heavily backing the proposition ($48M in funding)
- Group critical of Lyft's involvement, seeing it as self-serving given CA's EV requirements for rideshare companies
- Broader discussion of future tax rates and government spending