All-In E7: California's collapse, how SPACs are opening the markets for growth stocks & more
Episode 7 • 9/9/2020
California's Challenges
The group discussed California's current challenges, with Friedberg describing it as "crossing all seven layers of Dante's Inferno" from COVID to wealth taxes to wildfires. Key points:
- Chamath argued California exemplifies problems when one party controls all levels of government, leading to "massive rife incompetence"
- Discussion of San Francisco's challenges around homelessness, drug addiction, and poor governance
- Despite issues, Governor Newsom made case that "California exodus" fears are overblown, citing similar concerns dating back to 1959
- Group debated whether tech industry success has led to "resource curse" in governance
SPACs and Public Markets
Chamath provided insights on why SPACs are revolutionizing public markets:
- Detailed explanation of why companies should go public earlier (~year 5-6) at ~$50M revenue
- SPACs provide better path to public markets vs traditional IPO process
- Success requires both operational insight and public market sophistication
- Prediction that only a few SPAC sponsors will ultimately dominate the space
2020 Election Handicapping
The hosts provided their updated predictions on the presidential race:
- Sacks predicted Trump victory, shifting from previous Biden prediction
- Chamath predicted Biden win but acknowledged it's close
- Discussion of factors helping Trump including improving COVID numbers and response to urban unrest
- Group debated whether Biden needs stronger response to protest violence
Media Recommendations
The episode closed with recommendations including:
- Sacks: Andrew Sullivan and Matt Taibbi newsletters on Substack
- Chamath: Book "Americana" about history of American capitalism
- Friedberg: "There Will Be Blood" and Chernow's Rockefeller biography
- Jason: "The Fish That Ate the Whale" about Sam Zemurray