All-In E84: Markets update, crypto collapse, Russia/Ukraine endgame, state of the podcast
Episode 84 • 6/24/2022
Key Discussion Points:
- Market Update & Economic Outlook
- Markets in turmoil with S&P down 21% YTD and Dow down 17% YTD
- Chamath argues the economic issues stem from post-2008 monetary policies and estimates $30T in excess money needs to be removed from system
- Discussion of how retail vs institutional investors are responding differently to market conditions
- Debate over earnings forecasts and likelihood of recession
- Crypto Market Collapse
- Bitcoin down 71% from ATH, Ethereum down 78%
- Three Arrows Capital (3AC) crypto hedge fund facing insolvency
- Terra Luna collapse and regulatory implications discussed
- Concerns raised about token sales, exchange practices, and potential litigation
- Russia/Ukraine Situation
- Discussion of Lithuania's blockade of Kaliningrad and NATO implications
- Analysis of sanctions effectiveness and unintended consequences
- Debate over US foreign policy approach and energy independence
- Concerns about European energy crisis heading into winter
- Future Political Landscape
- Discussion of potential 2024 presidential candidates
- Analysis of DeSantis vs Newsom possibility
- Debate over Biden's reelection prospects
- Discussion of changing Democratic party dynamics
Notable Quotes:
On economic outlook: "It's going to take 24-36 months. That may mean the bottom doesn't happen for another 18 months."
On crypto regulation: "Wait till these token sale things get litigated... the amount of grift by so many of these venture firms in running these sketchy deals."
On energy policy: "Job number one is to be energy independent and job number two is to move to clean energy, but you gotta do this in sequence."
The episode began with resolution of internal podcast ownership disputes, confirming equal 25% ownership stakes among the hosts moving forward.